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Red74
813020.3
29335.2
942420.6
Blue52
807513.4
475018.2
162624.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7563020401001201401607452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
35Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points6
74Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
35.20.3
26.727.1
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 10.8
1626
#30
24.40.6
19.018.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
Second
9424
#17
20.60.3
21.521.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
red by 2.3
4750
#21
18.20.6
20.119.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Third
8130
#11
20.30.3
15.015.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 6.9
8075
#29
13.40.6
15.615.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed