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Red144
599238.6
704525.4
589574.5
Blue29
94398.3
711021.1
2529.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12544010015020014429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+107Teleop
+117Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +86
21Coral scored#4
76Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
100Total teleop14
Reef
11L4#3
7L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points2
144Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.52.8
60.663.4
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 45.0
25
#12
29.51.4
22.721.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
Second
38.62.8
25.428.2
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 17.5
7110
#25
21.11.4
20.118.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.2
Third
25.42.8
16.619.4
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
red by 17.1
9439
#20
8.31.4
4.63.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed