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Red33
457319.6
1023213.4
54388.2
Blue65
10229.6
601612.5
573213.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55500204060801003365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
4Coral scored#6
13Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
19Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points2
33Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#18
19.61.1
20.319.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
blue by 9.9
102
#9
29.61.0
23.524.5
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Second
13.41.1
17.916.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End0.6
blue by 0.5
5732
#27
13.81.0
13.614.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
5438
#22
8.21.1
11.910.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 4.3
6016
#24
12.51.0
11.312.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed