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Red117
140341.5
29335.2
363740.1
Blue154
589574.5
257719.4
573213.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110976080120140160117154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
71Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#9
4L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
12Foul points12
117Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.1
37.437.2
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
blue by 33.0
74.53.1
68.071.1
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
Second
40.10.1
36.936.8
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 20.7
2577
#14
19.43.1
17.820.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
Third
293
#5
35.20.1
32.932.8
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 21.4
5732
#27
13.83.1
10.013.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed