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Red102
942420.6
2529.5
4121.4
Blue64
807513.4
42822.8
219121.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75570204010012014010264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
76Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
12Foul points6
102Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#12
29.50.5
27.427.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
red by 6.7
428
#10
22.80.7
22.121.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
Second
41
#15
21.40.5
20.120.6
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
red by 0.3
2191
#32
21.10.7
19.618.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Third
9424
#17
20.60.5
19.920.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
red by 7.1
8075
#29
13.40.7
14.313.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed