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Red49
94398.3
457319.6
475018.2
Blue56
436120.1
162624.4
54388.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537402040601001201404956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
33Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
49Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#18
19.60.1
21.021.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
blue by 4.8
1626
#30
24.40.1
25.925.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
Second
4750
#21
18.20.1
19.219.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
blue by 1.9
4361
#13
20.10.1
20.920.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Third
9439
#20
8.30.1
7.97.9
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
red by 0.1
5438
#22
8.20.1
10.910.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned