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Red63
704525.4
573213.8
942420.6
Blue133
589574.5
694511.6
42822.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54117010015020063133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+56
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +48
9Coral scored#20
33Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
43Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#10
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
6Foul points6
63Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.1
25.225.1
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
blue by 49.1
74.51.6
71.172.7
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
Second
9424
#17
20.60.1
20.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
blue by 2.2
428
#10
22.81.6
21.423.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
Third
5732
#27
13.80.1
13.012.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 2.3
6945
#28
11.61.6
9.911.6
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned