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Red41
162624.4
257719.4
457319.6
Blue61
54388.2
599238.6
94398.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765920401001201404161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
30Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
41Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#30
24.41.8
25.824.0
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
blue by 14.2
38.60.4
36.536.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
Second
4573
#18
19.61.8
21.119.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
red by 11.3
9439
#20
8.30.4
7.98.3
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Third
2577
#14
19.41.8
20.919.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
red by 11.1
5438
#22
8.20.4
10.811.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed