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Red75
10229.6
531013.3
29335.2
Blue25
601612.5
245817.1
807513.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854802040601001201401607525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
7Coral scored#1
26Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
36Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points6
75Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#5
35.20.0
32.832.7
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 18.1
2458
#19
17.11.9
17.315.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Second
102
#9
29.60.0
29.329.3
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
red by 16.1
8075
#29
13.41.9
13.611.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Third
5310
#23
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 0.8
6016
#24
12.51.9
17.215.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed