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Red69
4121.4
711021.1
549017.0
Blue98
689718.7
475018.2
140341.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5782020401001201401606998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave6
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
54Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points0
69Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#15
21.40.6
20.621.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
blue by 20.1
41.51.6
37.238.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
Second
7110
#25
21.10.6
20.621.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 2.4
6897
#26
18.71.6
16.818.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1
Third
5490
#16
17.00.6
14.515.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 1.2
4750
#21
18.21.6
19.320.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed