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Red105
7547.3
858827.0
813020.3
Blue75
436120.1
219121.1
2529.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108795010015010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points41
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
69Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
105Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
47.30.0
44.644.6
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 17.8
25
#12
29.50.4
27.927.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
Second
27.00.0
25.125.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
red by 6.0
2191
#32
21.10.4
18.918.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Third
8130
#11
20.30.0
20.020.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 0.2
4361
#13
20.10.4
20.820.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed