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Red183
589574.5
245817.1
7547.3
Blue76
257719.4
813020.3
4121.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15956010020025018376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+105Teleop
+115Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
28Coral scored#10
100Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
132Total teleop55
Reef
15L4#4
6L3#3
10L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
41Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +107
0Foul points8
183Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.50.9
72.773.6
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 53.1
41
#15
21.40.1
21.121.0
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
Second
75
#2
47.30.9
45.546.4
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 26.9
8130
#11
20.30.1
20.020.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Third
2458
#19
17.10.9
15.416.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 2.2
2577
#14
19.40.1
19.119.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0