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Red133
549017.0
858827.0
2529.5
Blue80
162624.4
704525.4
457319.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7778406010012013380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+43Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points12
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
97Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +53
12Foul points6
133Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#12
29.51.2
27.628.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
red by 4.1
25.40.1
25.125.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Second
27.01.2
25.126.3
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
red by 2.6
1626
#30
24.40.1
24.024.2
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
Third
5490
#16
17.01.2
15.116.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 2.6
4573
#18
19.60.1
19.319.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5