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Red106
807513.4
599238.6
140341.5
Blue25
42822.8
54388.2
436120.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10354015010625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+83Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
72Total teleop10
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
106Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.4
39.840.2
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
red by 18.8
428
#10
22.80.6
23.022.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.0
End3.2
Second
38.60.4
36.937.3
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
red by 18.5
4361
#13
20.10.6
20.419.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End6.5
Third
8075
#29
13.40.4
11.712.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6
red by 5.2
5438
#22
8.20.6
8.57.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3