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Red115
363740.1
219121.1
29335.2
Blue71
689718.7
10229.6
942420.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996705015011571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+34Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
58Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +44
10Foul points0
115Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.4
37.637.9
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 10.5
102
#9
29.60.1
29.329.3
Auto5.3
Teleop21.8
End2.5
Second
293
#5
35.20.4
32.733.1
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 14.7
9424
#17
20.60.1
20.320.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Third
2191
#32
21.10.4
18.618.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 2.4
6897
#26
18.70.1
18.418.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End0.1