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Red94
813020.3
4121.4
257719.4
Blue93
162624.4
704525.4
457319.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6580020401001201401609493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
67Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points4
94Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#15
21.40.5
21.021.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.0
End0.2
blue by 4.0
25.40.2
25.225.4
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Second
8130
#11
20.30.5
20.020.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End2.0
blue by 4.1
1626
#30
24.40.2
24.224.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End1.0
Third
2577
#14
19.40.5
19.019.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End1.0
blue by 0.2
4573
#18
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5