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Red153
589574.5
245817.1
7547.3
Blue113
140341.5
599238.6
807513.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559250200153113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points45
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
24Processor points12
12Net points24
36Algae points36
88Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
153Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.50.3
73.874.1
Auto20.0
Teleop50.1
End4.4
red by 33.0
41.50.4
40.841.2
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
Second
75
#2
47.30.3
46.546.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 8.6
38.60.4
37.938.3
Auto4.7
Teleop33.2
End0.8
Third
2458
#19
17.10.3
16.416.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
red by 3.7
8075
#29
13.40.4
12.713.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.6