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Red105
363740.1
219121.1
29335.2
Blue76
549017.0
858827.0
2529.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037720406012014016010576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+19Teleop
+33Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
57Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points6
105Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.2
38.638.8
Auto5.5
Teleop26.7
End7.9
red by 10.6
25
#12
29.50.1
29.629.5
Auto5.0
Teleop23.6
End0.9
Second
293
#5
35.20.2
33.734.0
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 8.2
27.00.1
27.127.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End2.1
Third
2191
#32
21.10.2
19.619.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 4.1
5490
#16
17.00.1
17.117.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2