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Red31
42819.4
872118.6
8715.0
Blue100
125727.5
180745.9
201618.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509502040608012014016031100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#15
16Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#8
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points12
31Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
428
#23
19.42.0
15.913.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 26.5
45.90.7
39.239.9
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
8721
#25
18.62.0
13.411.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 9.0
27.50.7
18.719.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Third
87
#21
15.02.0
19.317.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 3.4
2016
#28
18.40.7
20.921.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed