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Red81
171220.0
48434.7
272028.9
Blue28
1015715.8
741426.6
71417.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886302040801001201401608128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+41Teleop
+55Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
49Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points2
81Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#12
34.70.4
31.431.0
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
red by 8.1
26.64.6
20.916.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
2720
#13
28.90.4
26.325.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 11.2
714
#14
17.74.6
18.513.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Third
1712
#10
20.00.4
15.014.6
Auto2.2
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 4.2
15.84.6
17.713.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed