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Red51
758716.3
181114.8
871412.2
Blue79
20420.6
692125.8
7537.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568020401001205179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
41Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
51Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7587
#31
16.31.1
13.212.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 21.6
75
#2
37.90.4
27.127.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Second
1811
#15
14.81.1
22.721.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 11.0
6921
#18
25.80.4
22.422.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
Third
8714
#32
12.21.1
14.213.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 8.4
204
#27
20.60.4
15.015.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed