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Red132
589559.5
272220.1
434237.2
Blue69
180745.9
8715.0
20320.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12484406010014016018013269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+47Teleop
+43Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
85Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
20Foul points0
132Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.8
50.249.4
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
red by 13.7
45.92.4
39.937.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
4342
#11
37.20.8
31.430.6
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
red by 16.3
203
#19
20.92.4
19.917.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
2722
#29
20.10.8
23.222.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
red by 5.1
87
#21
15.02.4
17.314.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed