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Red39
872118.6
877117.0
255431.1
Blue58
941615.1
164032.1
201618.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4279020601001201403958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +16
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
39Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.4
16.215.7
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
blue by 0.9
32.11.1
27.926.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
Second
8721
#25
18.60.4
11.511.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 0.1
2016
#28
18.41.1
21.620.5
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Third
8771
#16
17.00.4
15.415.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
red by 1.9
9416
#24
15.11.1
18.417.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned