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Red58
42819.4
71417.7
7537.9
Blue70
36541.6
1015715.8
711019.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638020401001201405870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
58Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
37.90.3
27.427.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
blue by 3.7
365
#4
41.60.2
26.226.5
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
Second
428
#23
19.40.3
13.914.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 0.1
7110
#17
19.20.2
26.727.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Third
714
#14
17.70.3
13.914.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 1.8
15.80.2
13.113.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed