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Red80
20320.9
255431.1
125727.5
Blue58
711019.2
42819.4
20420.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5365204060801008058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
57Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
80Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.13.4
15.719.1
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
red by 10.5
204
#27
20.60.2
15.415.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Second
27.53.4
16.519.9
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 8.2
428
#23
19.40.2
14.214.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
203
#19
20.93.4
17.420.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
red by 1.7
7110
#17
19.20.2
27.026.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned