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Red77
272220.1
171220.0
692125.8
Blue52
813015.0
164715.6
1015715.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7641020601001207752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
64Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
77Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#18
25.80.4
25.626.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
red by 10.0
15.80.2
13.313.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Second
2722
#29
20.10.4
17.317.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
red by 4.5
15.60.2
12.712.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Third
1712
#10
20.00.4
15.616.0
Auto2.2
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 5.1
8130
#22
15.00.2
10.911.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed