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Red97
181114.8
36541.6
125727.5
Blue85
877117.0
272028.9
434237.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798640506070901001101209785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
0Teleop0
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
66Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
97Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
41.63.3
24.828.1
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 4.4
4342
#11
37.21.5
30.331.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
Second
27.53.3
19.923.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
blue by 1.4
2720
#13
28.91.5
25.126.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
Third
1811
#15
14.83.3
22.726.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 2.2
8771
#16
17.01.5
15.917.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed