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Red87
20320.9
42819.4
164032.1
Blue64
692125.8
1040010.5
48434.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717340506080901008764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
46Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
87Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.7
30.532.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
blue by 2.6
484
#12
34.70.1
26.626.7
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
Second
203
#19
20.91.7
19.721.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
blue by 4.8
6921
#18
25.80.1
26.026.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
Third
428
#23
19.41.7
12.914.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 8.8
10.50.1
10.910.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed