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Red103
741426.6
255431.1
20420.6
Blue99
7537.9
434237.2
758716.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5383020406010012010399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
10Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
73Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
4Foul points6
103Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.15.5
18.323.9
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
blue by 6.8
75
#2
37.92.6
27.029.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Second
26.65.5
16.421.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 10.6
4342
#11
37.22.6
31.834.4
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
Third
204
#27
20.65.5
14.720.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
red by 4.4
7587
#31
16.32.6
10.813.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned