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Red39
201618.4
164715.6
871412.2
Blue133
125727.5
877117.0
589559.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5612010015020039133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+94
Endgame+92
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +73
4Coral scored#19
16Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
26Total teleop99
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#8
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#6
7Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points2
39Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#28
18.42.9
17.614.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
blue by 41.1
59.52.2
59.561.7
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
Second
15.62.9
12.910.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
blue by 12.0
27.52.2
23.225.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Third
8714
#32
12.22.9
23.120.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 4.7
8771
#16
17.02.2
17.519.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed