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Red36
1015715.8
20320.9
1040010.5
Blue45
71417.7
272220.1
181114.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54690204060801001203645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
21Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
36Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#19
20.91.1
20.819.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
red by 0.8
2722
#29
20.11.4
17.716.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Second
15.81.1
13.512.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 1.8
714
#14
17.71.4
14.212.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Third
10.51.1
12.010.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End0.4
blue by 4.2
1811
#15
14.81.4
26.024.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed