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Red45
8715.0
941615.1
741426.6
Blue79
255431.1
7537.9
711019.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488302040601001204579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points29
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
0Processor points0
12Net points16
12Algae points16
28Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points12
45Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.61.1
17.516.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 11.3
75
#2
37.90.7
27.827.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Second
9416
#24
15.11.1
16.915.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 16.0
31.10.7
19.118.3
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
Third
87
#21
15.01.1
14.113.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 4.2
7110
#17
19.20.7
26.826.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed