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Red61
164715.6
692125.8
42819.4
Blue65
871412.2
434237.2
164032.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5510801506165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
45Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points2
61Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#18
25.80.6
26.126.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
blue by 11.4
4342
#11
37.23.3
34.431.1
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
Second
428
#23
19.40.6
14.515.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 12.7
32.13.3
32.228.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
Third
15.60.6
10.110.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
red by 3.3
8714
#32
12.23.3
20.216.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed