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Red58
813015.0
125727.5
741426.6
Blue48
941615.1
20320.9
758716.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644702040801001201405848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+22Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points12
58Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.2
25.325.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 6.6
203
#19
20.92.1
21.319.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Second
26.60.2
21.921.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
red by 10.4
7587
#31
16.32.1
13.411.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Third
8130
#22
15.00.2
12.912.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.9
blue by 0.1
9416
#24
15.12.1
14.412.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed