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Red73
272028.9
1015715.8
272220.1
Blue39
1040010.5
872118.6
711019.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61593040507080907339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
54Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
73Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#13
28.91.6
25.126.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 9.7
7110
#17
19.22.1
24.622.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Second
2722
#29
20.11.6
16.217.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
red by 1.6
8721
#25
18.62.1
16.314.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Third
15.81.6
12.413.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 5.3
10.52.1
10.98.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed