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Red78
81614.6
20420.6
180745.9
Blue93
7537.9
48434.7
877117.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988540601201401607893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
58Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
78Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.4
47.346.9
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
red by 8.0
75
#2
37.91.9
29.631.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Second
204
#27
20.60.4
20.219.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
blue by 14.1
484
#12
34.71.9
26.728.6
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
Third
816
#26
14.60.4
14.313.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 2.4
8771
#16
17.01.9
19.621.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned