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Red104
255431.1
8715.0
36541.6
Blue79
589559.5
171220.0
181114.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80129406010012014016018020010479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
78Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
10Foul points12
104Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
41.60.5
31.031.5
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
blue by 17.9
59.56.5
61.755.2
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
Second
31.10.5
23.924.4
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
red by 11.1
1712
#10
20.06.5
15.99.5
Auto2.2
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Third
87
#21
15.00.5
13.013.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End1.9
red by 0.3
1811
#15
14.86.5
24.618.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed