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Red44
71417.7
125727.5
941615.1
Blue50
741426.6
272220.1
42819.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6482020401001201404450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
30Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points4
44Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.5
20.218.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
red by 0.9
26.62.7
25.823.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
714
#14
17.71.5
22.120.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
blue by 2.5
2722
#29
20.12.7
26.123.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Third
9416
#24
15.11.5
15.313.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 4.3
428
#23
19.42.7
18.615.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed