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Red134
48434.7
711019.2
589559.5
Blue37
758716.3
1040010.5
871412.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10555015020013437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+101Teleop
+103Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +74
23Coral scored#6
82Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
100Total teleop26
Reef
11L4#3
6L3#1
5L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points6
134Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.55.1
40.445.6
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
red by 43.3
7587
#31
16.33.4
18.214.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Second
484
#12
34.75.1
25.430.6
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
red by 22.5
8714
#32
12.23.4
16.713.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Third
7110
#17
19.25.1
21.827.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 8.7
10.53.1
17.514.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed