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Red56
692125.8
813015.0
877117.0
Blue74
7537.9
1015715.8
8715.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69706065755674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
44Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
0Cage & park12
0Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
56Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#18
25.81.2
25.123.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
blue by 12.1
75
#2
37.91.4
25.727.1
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Second
8771
#16
17.01.2
18.817.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
red by 1.1
15.85.9
25.119.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Third
8130
#22
15.01.2
16.815.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.9
blue by 0.1
87
#21
15.01.4
17.919.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed