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Red67
434237.2
81614.6
1015715.8
Blue107
180745.9
164032.1
7537.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58125010015020067107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
47Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
67Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#11
37.20.8
31.131.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
blue by 8.7
45.90.6
46.946.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Second
15.80.8
13.914.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 22.1
75
#2
37.90.6
31.530.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
Third
816
#26
14.60.8
13.914.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 17.5
32.10.6
28.928.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned