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Red158
36541.6
589559.5
20320.9
Blue68
272220.1
125727.5
20420.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130655010015020015868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+52Teleop
+60Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +55
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
98Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#5
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
30Foul points0
158Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.51.4
55.256.6
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
red by 32.0
27.50.1
25.125.0
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Second
365
#4
41.61.4
31.532.9
Auto5.8
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 21.0
204
#27
20.60.1
19.819.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Third
203
#19
20.91.4
19.220.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
red by 0.8
2722
#29
20.10.1
17.817.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed