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Red58
48434.7
181114.8
1015715.8
Blue24
711019.2
20320.9
8704-0.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001201405824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+38Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#2
27Coral points6
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
37Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
58Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#12
34.70.4
30.430.0
Auto5.6
Teleop27.5
End1.6
red by 13.8
203
#19
20.92.3
20.618.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Second
15.80.4
14.814.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
blue by 3.4
7110
#17
19.22.3
23.220.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Third
1811
#15
14.80.4
16.816.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.4
red by 15.3
8704
#33
-0.52.3
4.52.1
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed