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Red37
8715.0
877117.0
164032.1
Blue75
20420.6
272028.9
164715.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7865020401001201403775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+50
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
15Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
37Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.13.1
28.225.2
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
red by 3.2
2720
#13
28.91.3
23.324.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
Second
8771
#16
17.03.1
20.217.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
blue by 3.7
204
#27
20.61.3
19.721.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Third
87
#21
15.03.1
15.312.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 0.5
15.61.3
12.413.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed