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Red87
872118.6
434237.2
71417.7
Blue39
871412.2
813015.0
941615.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684302060801001208739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
14Coral scored#2
50Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
64Total teleop12
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points6
87Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#11
37.23.0
31.934.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End0.8
red by 22.1
9416
#24
15.11.0
10.39.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Second
8721
#25
18.63.0
12.315.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 3.6
8130
#22
15.01.0
13.412.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Third
714
#14
17.73.0
9.412.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 5.4
8714
#32
12.21.0
13.512.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed