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Red46
125727.5
81614.6
692125.8
Blue104
589559.5
201618.4
1015715.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7699406012014016046104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+62
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points15
12Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +50
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
22Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points6
46Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.52.6
28.826.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
blue by 32.0
59.51.2
56.657.7
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
Second
6921
#18
25.82.6
25.923.3
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End0.9
red by 7.4
2016
#28
18.41.2
15.116.2
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Third
816
#26
14.62.8
14.711.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 1.2
15.81.1
14.415.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned