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Red68
201618.4
272028.9
741426.6
Blue36
877117.0
871412.2
272220.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8062020401001201406836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
21Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
43Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
68Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#13
28.90.0
24.424.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.2
red by 8.8
2722
#29
20.11.7
19.617.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
Second
26.60.0
24.124.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.7
End2.5
red by 9.7
8771
#16
17.01.7
19.918.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
2016
#28
18.40.0
16.916.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.0
End0.5
red by 6.2
8714
#32
12.21.7
14.312.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed