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Red82
180745.9
1015715.8
872118.6
Blue106
589559.5
164715.6
255431.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87117608010014016018082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+18
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +29
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
53Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points6
82Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.3
47.247.6
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.6
blue by 13.7
59.50.0
55.555.5
Auto13.5
Teleop43.5
End2.5
Second
8721
#25
18.60.3
15.115.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 12.6
31.10.0
30.730.7
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
Third
15.80.3
15.415.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 0.2
15.60.0
13.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed