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Red139
20320.9
7537.9
171220.0
Blue98
164032.1
758716.3
125727.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959005015020013998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
80Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
30Foul points0
139Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
37.90.6
35.936.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.9
End5.2
red by 5.8
32.10.8
28.629.3
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End5.0
Second
203
#19
20.90.6
18.018.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.8
End1.8
blue by 6.6
27.50.7
26.627.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Third
1712
#10
20.00.6
17.317.9
Auto2.2
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 3.8
7587
#31
16.30.7
15.616.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned