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Red89
941615.1
272220.1
255431.1
Blue32
1015715.8
871412.2
8704-0.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7726040601001201408932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+39Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
12Coral scored#3
44Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
58Total teleop20
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
18Foul points0
89Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
30.730.8
Auto3.8
Teleop25.4
End1.9
red by 15.3
15.80.3
15.815.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Second
2722
#29
20.10.0
17.917.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.7
End0.1
red by 7.9
8714
#32
12.20.3
12.612.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Third
9416
#24
15.10.0
13.313.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
red by 15.6
8704
#33
-0.50.3
-0.2-0.5
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed